Delinquent CMBSes

Fact: According to Trepp Wire, April’s delinquency for CMBS was a record jump in %. What is even more alarming is the fact that there was new volume added in the last quarter of 2010, which usually dilutes the delinquency number because new loans don’t have a chance of being delinquent.

In a CMBS scenario, the lender sells the loan off to a pool that spreads the risk. Usually a bond is issued to create this pool, and investors who hold the bond are sharing the risk (check exact definition for yourself). The problem with this is that the originating bank has less at risk and is therefore less motivated to keep a mortgage from going into foreclosure. It creates an almost apathetic attitude.

To worsen things, the loan is typically serviced by a separate servicing organization. ORIX, CW Capital, LNR Partners, C3, are some of the larger servicers. These servicers have a definite conflict of interest when it comes to the fiduciary responsibility transferred by the bank. They are being paid to service the loan, so orchestrating short sales or short payoffs are difficult at best. They are paid to handle foreclosure proceedings, so they are quick to move in that direction. And they are paid to manage properties in REO, so if the properties don’t sell at auction (and 85% or more do not), they get paid to manage the property. Once a special servicer is assigned the banks typically allow them to make the decisions.

A specific example is a CMBS customer we are trying to help. He has an existing $4+ million mortgage with no personal guarantee. He hired us to handle a stipulated foreclosure because he doesn’t feel the property can succeed. In the eleventh hour, he had an offer from an investor to purchase the property of $500,000 over the appraised value. This is unheard of. At auction, the bank will be lucky to net 50% of the appraised (regardless of what the servicer projects). The bids are generally too low, so the property ends up in REO. With too many REO properties, the property is sold at a huge discount (supply/demand). The banks and servicers would have you believe that they will get over 80% out of the property. But we are seeing prices as low as 30% of appraised. The FDIC does not publish the final auction price statistics for obvious reasons.

We have other specific examples of how the government and banks have created this “rush” to foreclosure. One other case involves a loan (non CMBS) that was originated by Washington Mutual. In Jan. 2009, those loans were taken over by J.P. Morgan Chase Bank. The FDIC guaranteed 80% of the balance (for 3 years we believe). What this means is that if a property goes into foreclosure and sells for 20% of its original balance, the FDIC will make up 60%. That means the bank has no reason to accept an offer of short sale or short payoff less than 80% of the existing balance. In most cases, this will exceed the appraised value. The case we are discussing has a balance of $2.25 million. 80% is $1.8 million and the bank will not accept a penny less. We have a BPO of $1.3 million. Which means the customer could borrow about $975,000. This will be going to foreclosure. The FDIC will ultimately pick up the tab, which means we are paying for it.

In the above scenarios, the banks stand to reap the rewards of performing loans, fees, etc., but have mitigated their risk through the assistance of our government and its regulatory bodies. And we wonder why we have a massive foreclosure issue.

It would be in the best interest of the majority to avoid foreclosure whenever possible. Our government has almost insured that this can’t happen.

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Small Banks and CMBS




VIA FORTUNE

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Short Sales Set to Speed Up with new House Bill

short sale girl

Yesterday, a bill to speed along the short sale approval process was introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives.

The “Prompt Decision for Qualification for Short Sale Act of 2011″ bill was proposed by Congressmen Tom Rooney (R-Fla.) and Robert Andrews (D-N.J.). The bill -if approved- would impose a 45 day deadline on lenders to respond to short sale requests.

Ron Phipps, President of The National Association Realtors commented “The current short sale process can be time-consuming and inefficient, and many would-be buyers end up walking away from a sale that could have saved a home owner from foreclosure.”

Phipps continued: “Realtors and consumers continue to raise issues about delays in the short sale process, because lenders are unable to decide whether to approve a short sale.”

“After many months of delays, and with no response from lenders, potential buyers are losing patience and cancelling their contracts, often resulting in the property entering foreclosure. A short sale minimizes the negative impact on sellers and generally costs the lender less than a foreclosure.”

VIA Commercial Record

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Small Banks with Commercial Paper




Quintin Primo of Capri Capital Partners shares his insight on the commercial real estate sector.

VIA CNBC

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Cubicle Ghost Towns

Office Cubicle

Conference rooms, storage areas, and cubicles in commercial office buildings are vacant. This is a nationwide trend according to Fortune. Office vacancy rates have risen 5% across the board in every industry (except government buildings). Layoffs and stagnant hiring in the this economy have turned many offices into “ghost towns. Less than one-third (30%) of the employers surveyed expect to need more office space in the years ahead.

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J.P. Morgan’s Commercial Real Estate Head On Lending

JP Morgan Chase

J.P. Morgan Chase commercial-banking head, Todd Maclin who saved the bank from the commercial real-estate collapse by cutting back on lending while competitors made continued to loan. Maclin now advised J.P. Morgan to lend again to commercial real estate owners. Demand for new loans are on the rise. While much of the competition still can’t stomach the idea of making new investments.

- From 2005 to 2009, national outstanding commercial real-estate loans grew 55% to over $1.7 trillion

- From 2004 to 2007, the commercial bank slashed its real-estate exposure from about $20 billion to about $7 billion.

- With a 33% of all outstanding loans, nearly $1 trillion, coming due in the next 2 years, strong banks will get more opportunities.

VIA: Fox Business

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New York Commercial Property Sales to Rise 50% in 2011

new york real estate

An expected interest rate increase in New York City has intensified demand for commercial property sales by 50%. $25 billion in deals is expected across the city, the same as before the Lehman Brothers collapse froze the commercial real estate market in 2008. Office buildings, apartments and retail spaces totaling $14.5 billion we restructured last year. Demand by investors for retail properties may drive values up more than 30 percent on a price-per-square-foot basis.

VIA: Bloomberg

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Fortune on the Commercial Real Estate Bust



In the above video, Fortune writer Colin Barr expressed concern that regional banks are facing huge exposure due to the commercial real estate bust. Barr also mentions questions in the commercial real estate market as compared to residential. The residential market isn’t expected to get that much worse but there are doubts when it comes to the future of the commercial sector. The ability for commercial property owners to refinance isn’t there due to the financial state of lending institutions. The banks are being very conservative in their underwriting which may lead to countless defaults.

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SBA launches program for commercial real estate refinancing

small business administration

The United States Small Business Administration (SBA) is offering a new relief program to small business owners facing the maturation of their commercial mortgages or balloon payments due before the end of 2012. Coming less than a month after the SBA rolled out a loan guarantee program strongly supported by the NADA. This commercial real estate mortgage refinancing program is designed to respond to the need to get a news loan in the tough economic time, in order for the property owner to keep their property.

VIA CATA

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Bridger Shuts Commercial Mortgage Lending

wall-street-commercial-property

A Wall Street commercial property lender, Bridger Commericial Funding, has shut down this month as large banks take charge. In the past six months the number of compeating lenders balloned, Steven Mumma, co-Chief Executive Officer of Bridger said. Between 20 and 25 finacial institutions are seeking to originate loans they plan to package into bonds. This is up for only 5 a year ago.

“There are too many lenders, too few loans to make. It’s inevitable.” said Richard Parkus, an analyst at Morgan Stanley.

That data shows banks have taken about $6.5 billion in commercial-mortgage backed bonds this year, compared with $11.5 billion in all of 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Loan volume plummeted to $3.4 billion in 2009 as credit markets seized in the mists of the market crash. The market peaked with $234 billion in issuance in 2007.

VIA Bloomberg

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